The Odds of Accidental Death

Odds of Accidental Death

Women Drivers Are a Serious Health Risk For Men Drivers

NASA estimated today, Tuesday, September 20, 2011, that there is one chance out of 3,200 of someone being hit by space debris from one of their defunct bus-sized satellites. This compares to your lifetime odds of one out of 80 of being killed in a motor vehicle accident, one out of 3,286 of being killed in an airplane accident, and one out of 268,153 of dying from a snake bite. It's one TRILLION times more likely that this debris will strike someone than it is that ONE Ashkenazi Jew would have an IQ of 122.

Manner of Injury

Deaths, 1996

One-year Odds

Life-time Odds

Probability per year

Lifetime probability

ALL INJURY DEATHS, E800-E999

150,298

1,765

0.0005665722

0.0434782609

All Accidental Deaths, E800-E949

94,948

2,794

0.0003579098

0.0270270270

Railway, E800-E807

565

469,529

6,170

0.0000021298

0.0001620746

Motor-vehicle, E810-E825

43,649

6,078

0.0001645278

0.0125000000

Pedestrian, .7 of E810-E825

6,028

44,009

578

0.0000227226

0.0017301038

Water transport, E830-E838

675

393,013

5,164

0.0000025444

0.0001936483

Drowning (excluded from drowning below), E830, E832

471

563,236

7,401

0.0000017755

0.0001351169

Other water transport, E831, E833-E838

204

1,300,412

17,088

0.0000007690

0.0000585206

Air and space transport, E840-E845

1,061

250,032

3,286

0.0000039995

0.0003043214

Poisoning by solids and liquids, E850-E866

8,872

29,901

393

0.0000334437

0.0025445293

Poisoning by gases and vapors, E867-E869

638

415,806

5,464

0.0000024050

0.0001830161

[Poisoning by solids, liquids, gases, vapors, E850-E869 ]

9,510

27,895

367

0.0000358487

0.0027247956

Complications, misadventures of surgical, medical care, E870-E879

2,919

90,882

1,194

0.0000110033

0.0008375209

Falls, E880-E888

14,986

17,702

233

0.0000564908

0.0042918455

Fire and flames, E890-E899

3,741

70,913

932

0.0000141018

0.0010729614

Excessive heat, E900

249

1,065,398

14,000

0.0000009386

0.0000714286

Excessive cold, E901

685

387,276

5,089

0.0000025821

0.0001965023

Hunger, thirst, exposure and neglect, E904

224

1,184,304

15,562

0.0000008444

0.0000642591

Poisoning by and toxic reaction to venomous animals, plants, E905

3,901,235

51,265

0.0000002563

0.0000195065

Venomous snakes, lizards, and spiders, E905.0, E905.1

20,406,462

268,153

0.0000000490

0.0000037292

Hornets, wasps and bees, E905.3

5,895,200

77,466

0.0000001696

0.0000129089

Other and unspecified animals, plants, E905.2, E905.4-E905.9

26,528,400

348,599

0.0000000377

0.0000028686

Other injury caused by animals, E906

107

2,479,290

32,579

0.0000004033

0.0000306946

Dog bite, E906.0

11,534,087

151,565

0.0000000867

0.0000065978

Other and unspecified injury by animal, E906.1-E906.9

3,158,143

41,500

0.0000003166

0.0000240964

Lightning, E907

4,210,857

55,333

0.0000002375

0.0000180724

Cataclysmic storms, and floods resulting from storms, E908

2,852,516

37,484

0.0000003506

0.0000266780

Cataclysmic earth surface movements and eruptions, E909

6,316,286

83,000

0.0000001583

0.0000120482

Other natural and environmental factors, E902, E903

13,962,316

183,473

0.0000000716

0.0000054504

Drowning, submersion (excluding water transport drownings above), E910

3,488

76,056

999

0.0000131482

0.0010010010

During sport or recreation, E910.0-E910.2

645

411,293

5,405

0.0000024314

0.0001850139

In bathtub, E910.4

330

803,891

10,564

0.0000012439

0.0000946611

Other, unspecified drowning, submersion, E910.3, E910.8, E910.9

2,513

105,565

1,387

0.0000094728

0.0007209805

[Drowning, all, E830, E832, E910 ]

3,959

67,008

881

0.0000149236

0.0011350738

Inhalation and ingestion of food, E911

1,126

235,599

3,096

0.0000042445

0.0003229974

Inhalation and ingestion of other object, E912

2,080

127,540

1,676

0.0000078407

0.0005966587

[Choking, E911-E912 ]

3,206

82,746

1,087

0.0000120852

0.0009199632

Mechanical suffocation, E913

1,114

238,136

3,129

0.0000041993

0.0003195909

Struck by falling object, E916

732

362,410

4,762

0.0000027593

0.0002099958

Struck against or by objects or persons, E917

171

1,551,368

20,386

0.0000006446

0.0000490533

Caught in or between objects, E918

3,736,394

49,098

0.0000002676

0.0000203674

Machinery, E919

926

286,484

3,765

0.0000034906

0.0002656042

Cutting or piercing instruments or objects, E920

2,734,887

35,938

0.0000003656

0.0000278257

Firearm missile, E922

1,134

233,937

3,074

0.0000042747

0.0003253090

Explosive material, E923

130

2,040,646

26,815

0.0000004900

0.0000372926

Fireworks, E923.0

29,476,000

387,332

0.0000000339

0.0000025818

Explosive gases, E923.2

5,413,959

71,143

0.0000001847

0.0000140562

Other and unspecified explosive material, E923.1, E923.8, E923.9

3,684,500

48,417

0.0000002714

0.0000206539

Hot substance or object, corrosive material and steam, E924

104

2,550,808

33,519

0.0000003920

0.0000298338

Electric current, E925

482

550,382

7,232

0.0000018169

0.0001382743

Other and unspecified accidents, E914, E915, E921, E926, E927, E928

2,984

88,902

1,168

0.0000112483

0.0008561644

Late effects (deaths more than one year after accident), E929

1,126

235,599

3,096

0.0000042445

0.0003229974

Adverse effects of drugs in therapeutic use, E930-E949

253

1,048,553

13,779

0.0000009537

0.0000725742

All Suicide Deaths, E950-E959

30,903

8,584

113

0.0001164958

0.0088495575

Suicide by firearm, E955.0-.4

18,166

14,603

192

0.0000684791

0.0052083333

All Homicide Deaths, E960-E969

20,634

12,857

169

0.0000777786

0.0059171598

Homicide by firearm, E965.0-.4

14,037

18,899

248

0.0000529129

0.0040322581

Legal Intervention, E970-E978

337

787,193

10,344

0.0000012703

0.0000966744

Undetermined Whether Accidentally or Purposely Inflicted, E980-E989

3,463

76,605

1,007

0.0000130540

0.0009930487

Deaths From Operations of War, E990-E999

20,406,462

268,153

0.0000000490

0.0000037292

Wives murdered by husbands

199

1,333,022

17,517

0.0000007502

0.0000570884

Children murdered by mothers

1,170

226,728

2,979

0.0000044106

0.0003356456

All children murdered

1,499

176,966

2,325

0.0000056508

0.0004300280

Children murdered by fathers

26,527,135

348,582

0.0000000377

0.0000028688

Men murdered by women

1,393

190,432

2,502

0.0000052512

0.0003996191

Additional men traffic fatalities due solely to higher accident rate of women drivers

6,266

42,335

556

0.0000236211

0.0017975688

Motor vehicle fatalities if only men drove all 1.5 trillion miles

34046.22

7,792

102

0.0001283449

0.0097670640

Motor vehicle fatalities if only White drinking men drove

14,104

18,808

247

0.0000531682

0.0040461076

Motor vehicle fatalities if only White drinking women drove

15,754

16,838

221

0.0000593882

0.0045194540

Motor vehicle fatalities if only black drinking men drove

29,932

8,862

116

0.0001128354

0.0085867905

Motor vehicle fatalities if only White non-drinking women drove

67,248

3,945

0.0002535065

0.0192918779

Motor vehicle fatalities if only White non-drinking men drove

120,346

2,204

0.0004536713

0.0345244518

Motor vehicle fatalities if only black non-drinking women drove

216,687

1,224

0.0008168504

0.0621624308

Motor vehicle fatalities if only black non-drinking men drove

255,395

1,039

0.0009627689

0.0732668504

US Population

265271352

Life Expectancy in US

76.1001447

Odds of Death Due to Unintentional Injury, Selected Causes, United States, 1996 (in rank order). Note: Lines in italics are subcategories of other listed causes.

Manner of Injury

Deaths, 1996

One-year Odds

Life-time Odds

Probability per year

Lifetime probability

All Accidental Deaths, E800-E949

94,948

2,794

0.0003579098

0.0270270270

Motor-vehicle, E810-E825

43,649

6,078

0.0001645278

0.0125000000

Falls, E880-E888

14,986

17,702

233

0.0000564908

0.0042918455

Poisoning by solids, liquids, gases, vapors, E850-E869

9,510

27,895

367

0.0000358487

0.0027247956

Poisoning by solids and liquids, E850-E866

8,872

29,901

393

0.0000334437

0.0025445293

Pedestrian, .7 of E810-E825

6,028

44,009

578

0.0000227226

0.0017301038

Drowning, all, E830, E832, E910

3,959

67,008

881

0.0000149236

0.0011350738

Fire and flames, E890-E899

3,741

70,913

932

0.0000141018

0.0010729614

Drowning, submersion (excluding water transport drownings above), E910

3,488

76,056

999

0.0000131482

0.0010010010

Choking, E911-E912

3,206

82,746

1,087

0.0000120852

0.0009199632

Complications, misadventures of surgical, medical care, E870-E879

2,919

90,882

1,194

0.0000110033

0.0008375209

Inhalation and ingestion of other object, E912

2,080

127,540

1,676

0.0000078407

0.0005966587

Firearm missile, E922

1,134

233,937

3,074

0.0000042747

0.0003253090

Late effects (deaths more than one year after accident), E929

1,126

235,599

3,096

0.0000042445

0.0003229974

Inhalation and ingestion of food, E911

1,126

235,599

3,096

0.0000042445

0.0003229974

Mechanical suffocation, E913

1,114

238,136

3,129

0.0000041993

0.0003195909

Air and space transport, E840-E845

1,061

250,032

3,286

0.0000039995

0.0003043214

Machinery, E919

926

286,484

3,765

0.0000034906

0.0002656042

Struck by falling object, E916

732

362,410

4,762

0.0000027593

0.0002099958

Excessive cold, E901

685

387,276

5,089

0.0000025821

0.0001965023

Water transport, E830-E838

675

393,013

5,164

0.0000025444

0.0001936483

Drowning during sport or recreation, E910.0-E910.2

645

411,293

5,405

0.0000024314

0.0001850139

Poisoning by gases and vapors, E867-E869

638

415,806

5,464

0.0000024050

0.0001830161

Railway, E800-E807

565

469,529

6,170

0.0000021298

0.0001620746

Electric current, E925

482

550,382

7,232

0.0000018169

0.0001382743

Drowning In bathtub, E910.4

330

803,891

10,564

0.0000012439

0.0000946611

Adverse effects of drugs in therapeutic use, E930-E949

253

1,048,553

13,779

0.0000009537

0.0000725742

Excessive heat, E900

249

1,065,398

14,000

0.0000009386

0.0000714286

Hunger, thirst, exposure and neglect, E904

224

1,184,304

15,562

0.0000008444

0.0000642591

Struck against or by objects or persons, E917

171

1,551,368

20,386

0.0000006446

0.0000490533

Explosive material, E923

130

2,040,646

26,815

0.0000004900

0.0000372926

Other injury caused by animals, E906

107

2,479,290

32,579

0.0000004033

0.0000306946

Hot substance or object, corrosive material and steam, E924

104

2,550,808

33,519

0.0000003920

0.0000298338

Cutting or piercing instruments or objects, E920

2,734,887

35,938

0.0000003656

0.0000278257

Cataclysmic storms, and floods resulting from storms, E908

2,852,516

37,484

0.0000003506

0.0000266780

Caught in or between objects, E918

3,736,394

49,098

0.0000002676

0.0000203674

Poisoning by and toxic reaction to venomous animals, plants, E905

3,901,235

51,265

0.0000002563

0.0000195065

Lightning, E907

4,210,857

55,333

0.0000002375

0.0000180724

Explosive gases, E923.2

5,413,959

71,143

0.0000001847

0.0000140562

Hornets, wasps and bees, E905.3

5,895,200

77,466

0.0000001696

0.0000129089

Cataclysmic earth surface movements and eruptions, E909

6,316,286

83,000

0.0000001583

0.0000120482

Dog bite, E906.0

11,534,087

151,565

0.0000000867

0.0000065978

Other natural and environmental factors, E902, E903

13,962,316

183,473

0.0000000716

0.0000054504

Venomous snakes, lizards, and spiders, E905.0, E905.1

20,406,462

268,153

0.0000000490

0.0000037292

Fireworks, E923.0

29,476,000

387,332

0.0000000339

0.0000025818

The data highlighted in blue is from other sources.
What Are the Odds of Dying?
The tables were prepared in response to frequent inquiries, especially from the media, asking, "What are the odds of being killed by lightning?" or "What are the chances of dying in a plane crash?"
The first table lists all injury-related causes of death, including suicide and homicide, and shows them grouped by cause of death. The second table lists only unintentional causes and shows them in rank order from most likely to least likely which makes it easy to compare various causes. The data are for 1996 which is the latest year available.
Each table has four columns. The first column gives the manner of injury such as motor-vehicle crash, fall, fire, etc. The second column gives the total number of deaths nationwide in 1996 due to the manner of injury. The third column gives the odd of dying in one year due to the manner of injury. The fourth column gives the lifetime odds of dying from the manner of injury. Statements about the odds or chances of dying from a given cause of death may be made as follows:
The odds of dying from (manner of injury) in 1996 were 1 in (value given in the one-year odds column).
The life-time odds of dying from (manner of injury) for a person born in 1996 were 1 in (value given in the lifetime odds column).
For example, referring to the first line of the table below:
The odds of dying from an injury in 1996 were 1 in 1,765.
The lifetime odds of dying from an injury for a person born in 1996 were 1 in 23.
Source: National Safety Council estimates based on data from National Center for Health Statistics and U.S. Census Bureau. Deaths are classified on the basis of the Ninth Revision of "The International Classification of Diseases" (ICD). Numbers following titles refer to External Cause of Injury and Poisoning classifications in the ICD. Data for 1996 are the latest official figures. One year odds are approximated by dividing the 1996 population (265,284,000) by the number of deaths. Lifetime odds are approximated by dividing the one-year odds by the life expectancy of a person born in 1996 (76.1 years).
Odds of Death Due to Injury, United States, 1996
Note: Lines in italics are subcategories of other listed causes.
Lines enclosed in brackets, "[...]", are combinations of two or more lines shown elsewhere.

The risk of a woman dying of breast cancer is twice as great as the risk of her dying in a traffic accident. If she has an abortion, her risk of dying of breast cancer increases 30% to 2.55 times that of dying in a traffic accident. If she routinely wears a seatbelt, she reduces that risk of dying in a traffic accident, which increases her likelihod of dying from cancer if she has an abortion to 2.7 times the risk of dying in a traffic accident. Wearing a seatbelt reduces her probability of dying in a traffic accident by 0.00001582, but having an abortion increases her probability of dying of breast cancer by 0.00018635, which means that the increase in her probability of death from an abortion is 12 times greater than the amount by which wearing a seatbelt reduces her probability of death.

For a woman who has an abortion to put on a seatbelt is about like using a sock to stop bleeding from the carotid artery, or putting a bandaid on a gunshot wound.

Number of Deaths

Probability of Death

Traffic accident

43,500

0.00015818

Without seatbelt

0.00016609

With seatbelt

0.00015027

Difference

0.00001582

Cancer

539,533

0.00196194

Breast Cancer, Women Only

42,551

0.00031059

With abortion

0.00040377

Without abortion

0.00021741

Difference

0.00018635

Breast cancer:traffic accident

1.96350784

Breast cancer with abortion:traffic accident

2.5525602

Breast cancer with abortion:traffic accident without seatbelt

2.43100971

Breast cancer with abortion:traffic accident with seatbelt

2.68690547